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Thailand forecasts export growth of up to 19% in 2026

September exports totalled US$38 billion, up 24% year on year, while officials warned that prolonged European unrest could affect trade.

By Nadia Hassan

Shipping containers stacked at a cargo port
Photo: Thai PBS World

Thailand’s Ministry of Commerce projects export growth of 15% to 16% for 2026, potentially reaching 19%, supported by strong electronics and artificial intelligence technology demand. The outlook comes despite risks from geopolitical conflicts, energy costs and protests in Europe.

Thai exports were worth US$38 billion in September 2026, a year-on-year gain of 24%. That extended the run of monthly export increases to 27 months.

Nantapong Chiralerspong, director general of the Trade Policy and Strategy Office, said demonstrations in France and other major European cities had not so far caused substantial order cancellations or affected logistics networks.

He cautioned that unrest lasting longer could interfere with supply chains and weaken purchasing power in the region.

Exports to the European Union continued to grow steadily during the first nine months of 2026. France ranked as Thailand’s 22nd largest export market, with key shipments including aircraft, computer components and air-conditioning units.

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